Trader consensus on a 21°C high for São Paulo on June 17 rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under typical mid-winter conditions. June climatology for the city features daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, driven by reduced solar insolation, frequent polar air intrusions, and relatively dry stable air masses that limit convective warming. Recent regional analyses showed no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky enhancement capable of pushing readings higher, aligning measured values precisely with the 21°C threshold. Market-implied odds above 99% reflect this direct verification, though minor uncertainty could arise from station-specific siting differences or post-processing adjustments by Brazil’s national meteorological service; such revisions remain rare and would require documented evidence to alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月17日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$36,555 Vol.
$36,555 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$36,555 Vol.
$36,555 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on a 21°C high for São Paulo on June 17 rests on official station observations confirming that exact maximum under typical mid-winter conditions. June climatology for the city features daytime highs averaging 21–22°C, driven by reduced solar insolation, frequent polar air intrusions, and relatively dry stable air masses that limit convective warming. Recent regional analyses showed no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky enhancement capable of pushing readings higher, aligning measured values precisely with the 21°C threshold. Market-implied odds above 99% reflect this direct verification, though minor uncertainty could arise from station-specific siting differences or post-processing adjustments by Brazil’s national meteorological service; such revisions remain rare and would require documented evidence to alter resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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