The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 5?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 5?
31°C 66%
32°C 25%
30°C 6.4%
33°C 4%
新規
$10,066 Vol.
新規
$10,066 Vol.
2026/07/05
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
66%
32°C
25%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 66%
32°C 25%
30°C 6.4%
33°C 4%
新規
$10,066 Vol.
新規
$10,066 Vol.
2026/07/05
27°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$417 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$815 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,153 Vol.
6%
31°C
$2,295 Vol.
66%
32°C
$3,478 Vol.
25%
33°C
$463 Vol.
4%
34°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$271 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$10,066終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$10,066終了日
2026/07/05マーケット開始日
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus favoring 31°C as the most likely high for Tel Aviv on July 5 aligns with established July climatology, where average daily maxima reach 30–32°C under the influence of the subtropical ridge, clear skies, and light westerly flow. Coastal sea breezes from the Mediterranean provide consistent moderation that rarely allows extremes above 33°C or below 29°C this early in the month. Recent extended-range guidance from models shows stable conditions with minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming heat dome or upper-level trough to shift temperatures notably. Traders therefore assign low implied odds to outliers, reflecting both historical frequency and the narrow forecast spread two days ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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