Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
22°C or below 28%
26°C 23%
29°C 22%
27°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/07/06
22°C or below
28%
23°C
10%
24°C
12%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
19%
28°C
18%
29°C
22%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 28%
26°C 23%
29°C 22%
27°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/07/06
22°C or below
$37 Vol.
28%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
23%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$37 Vol.
22%
30°C
$27 Vol.
14%
31°C
$27 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$149終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$149終了日
2026/07/06マーケット開始日
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETPersistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問