Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月13日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月13日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
23°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$41,324 Vol.
$41,324 Vol.
2026/08/13
20℃以下
いいえ
21°C
いいえ
22℃
いいえ
23°C
はい
24°C
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27℃
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C以上
いいえ
23°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22℃ <1%
$41,324 Vol.
$41,324 Vol.
2026/08/13
20℃以下
$722 Vol.
いいえ
21°C
$1,789 Vol.
いいえ
22℃
$5,758 Vol.
いいえ
23°C
$11,454 Vol.
はい
24°C
$12,739 Vol.
いいえ
25°C
$3,628 Vol.
いいえ
26℃
$2,821 Vol.
いいえ
27℃
$528 Vol.
いいえ
28°C
$893 Vol.
いいえ
29℃
$782 Vol.
いいえ
30°C以上
$210 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$41,324終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$41,324終了日
2026/08/13マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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