Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月14日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$66,149 Vol.
$66,149 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$66,149 Vol.
$66,149 Vol.
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Current forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate a daily maximum near 13°C in Wellington on August 14 under mostly cloudy skies, light winds shifting southerly, and possible low cloud or showers that limit solar heating. This aligns with the city's August climatology of roughly 12°C average highs and recent model consensus showing stable cool maritime air rather than warmer northerly flows. Trader consensus reflected in the 13°C outcome at full implied probability incorporates these official guidance products, which carry high reliability for same-day resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the maximum include unexpected clearing allowing brief warming to 14°C or stronger southerlies dropping readings below the threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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