Waymo's May 13 announcement of a 27% service area expansion to over 1,400 square miles across its current 11 cities—Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Austin, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio—has solidified trader consensus around 11 cities (36.5% implied probability) by June 30. This focus on densifying robotaxi operations within established markets, rather than launching anew, reflects scaling challenges like fleet deployment and regulatory hurdles in self-driving expansion, despite a 3,000-vehicle armada targeting 1 million weekly trips by year-end. Lower odds for 12+ (13%) stem from unconfirmed timelines for prospects like Las Vegas in summer 2026, with recent Nashville rollout in April underscoring deliberate pacing amid safety data scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日11 30%
12以上 13%
7 8.5%
9 5.5%
$162,499 Vol.
$162,499 Vol.
2026/06/30
≤5
1%
6
2%
7
9%
8
4%
9
5%
10
5%
11
37%
12以上
13%
11 30%
12以上 13%
7 8.5%
9 5.5%
$162,499 Vol.
$162,499 Vol.
2026/06/30
≤5
$41,853 Vol.
1%
6
$20,099 Vol.
2%
7
$13,760 Vol.
9%
8
$14,295 Vol.
4%
9
$17,397 Vol.
5%
10
$13,659 Vol.
5%
11
$19,395 Vol.
37%
12以上
$22,041 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's May 13 announcement of a 27% service area expansion to over 1,400 square miles across its current 11 cities—Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Austin, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio—has solidified trader consensus around 11 cities (36.5% implied probability) by June 30. This focus on densifying robotaxi operations within established markets, rather than launching anew, reflects scaling challenges like fleet deployment and regulatory hurdles in self-driving expansion, despite a 3,000-vehicle armada targeting 1 million weekly trips by year-end. Lower odds for 12+ (13%) stem from unconfirmed timelines for prospects like Las Vegas in summer 2026, with recent Nashville rollout in April underscoring deliberate pacing amid safety data scrutiny.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ET
音量
$162,499終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Waymo's May 13 announcement of a 27% service area expansion to over 1,400 square miles across its current 11 cities—Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Austin, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio—has solidified trader consensus around 11 cities (36.5% implied probability) by June 30. This focus on densifying robotaxi operations within established markets, rather than launching anew, reflects scaling challenges like fleet deployment and regulatory hurdles in self-driving expansion, despite a 3,000-vehicle armada targeting 1 million weekly trips by year-end. Lower odds for 12+ (13%) stem from unconfirmed timelines for prospects like Las Vegas in summer 2026, with recent Nashville rollout in April underscoring deliberate pacing amid safety data scrutiny.
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service provided by Waymo that is available to the general public and operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions.
Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify.
If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market.
The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$162,499終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Nov 10, 2025, 6:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Waymo's May 13 announcement of a 27% service area expansion to over 1,400 square miles across its current 11 cities—Phoenix, San Francisco Bay Area, Austin, Los Angeles, Atlanta, Miami, Nashville, Orlando, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio—has solidified trader consensus around 11 cities (36.5% implied probability) by June 30. This focus on densifying robotaxi operations within established markets, rather than launching anew, reflects scaling challenges like fleet deployment and regulatory hurdles in self-driving expansion, despite a 3,000-vehicle armada targeting 1 million weekly trips by year-end. Lower odds for 12+ (13%) stem from unconfirmed timelines for prospects like Las Vegas in summer 2026, with recent Nashville rollout in April underscoring deliberate pacing amid safety data scrutiny.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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