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選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner
選挙·ハウス・プライマリー

IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
新規

Lindsay James 94%

Kathy Dolter 2.4%

Clint Twedt-Ball 1.4%

Don Primus <1%

Polymarket
新規

Lindsay James

$3,646 Vol.

94%

Kathy Dolter

$1,917 Vol.

2%

Clint Twedt-Ball

$1,628 Vol.

1%

Don Primus

$1,012 Vol.

<1%

Guy Morgan

$1,151 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary set for June 2, driven by her incumbency advantage in the Iowa House, superior fundraising as shown in recent reports, and key endorsements from the Iowa AFL-CIO and State Council of Machinists in late April. Challengers Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball trail amid low visibility, with recent candidate forums in Hiawatha on May 9 and a healthcare-immigration debate on May 13 failing to shift momentum. James's experience as the sole elected official bolsters her path-to-victory in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, voter turnout surprises favoring underdogs, or undecideds breaking heavily elsewhere, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,355
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Lindsay James commands 94% trader consensus in the IA-02 Democratic primary set for June 2, driven by her incumbency advantage in the Iowa House, superior fundraising as shown in recent reports, and key endorsements from the Iowa AFL-CIO and State Council of Machinists in late April. Challengers Kathy Dolter and Clint Twedt-Ball trail amid low visibility, with recent candidate forums in Hiawatha on May 9 and a healthcare-immigration debate on May 13 failing to shift momentum. James's experience as the sole elected official bolsters her path-to-victory in this open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid. Upsets remain possible via late scandals, voter turnout surprises favoring underdogs, or undecideds breaking heavily elsewhere, though structural barriers favor the frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,355
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Feb 25, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Lindsay James」で94%、次いで「Kathy Dolter」が2%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、94¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に94%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Feb 25, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Lindsay James」で94%であり、市場がこの結果に94%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Kathy Dolter」で2%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「IA-02 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。