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icon for PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·ペンシルベニア州予備選挙

PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者

Bob Brooks 86%

ライアン・クロスウェル 7.0%

Lamont McClure 6.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 4.9%

Polymarket

$26,110 Vol.

Bob Brooks 86%

ライアン・クロスウェル 7.0%

Lamont McClure 6.7%

Carol Obando-Derstine 4.9%

Polymarket

$26,110 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,362 Vol.

86%

ライアン・クロスウェル

$4,714 Vol.

7%

Lamont McClure

$5,973 Vol.

7%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 Vol.

5%

Lewis Shupe

$3,265 Vol.

<1%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,147 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary heavily favors Bob Brooks at 85.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 contest, propelled by key endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Transportation Sec. Pete Buttigieg, the DCCC, and major unions like the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters, which he leads. Recent polls, including NYT tracking showing Brooks up by 7 points, strong fundraising, and a new joint DCCC-Brooks ad buy running through election week underscore his frontrunner status in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground. GOP-linked super PACs boosting Lamont McClure with positive ads have nudged him to 6.9%, viewing him as a weaker general election foe against Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, while Ryan Crosswell and Carol Obando-Derstine trail amid intense final canvassing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$26,110
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the PA-07 Democratic primary heavily favors Bob Brooks at 85.5% implied probability ahead of the May 19 contest, propelled by key endorsements from Gov. Josh Shapiro, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Transportation Sec. Pete Buttigieg, the DCCC, and major unions like the Pennsylvania Professional Fire Fighters, which he leads. Recent polls, including NYT tracking showing Brooks up by 7 points, strong fundraising, and a new joint DCCC-Brooks ad buy running through election week underscore his frontrunner status in this Lehigh Valley swing district battleground. GOP-linked super PACs boosting Lamont McClure with positive ads have nudged him to 6.9%, viewing him as a weaker general election foe against Rep. Ryan Mackenzie, while Ryan Crosswell and Carol Obando-Derstine trail amid intense final canvassing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$26,110
終了日
2026/05/19
マーケット開始日
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Bob Brooks」で86%、次いで「ライアン・クロスウェル」が7%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、86¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に86%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$26.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 20, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Bob Brooks」で86%であり、市場がこの結果に86%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ライアン・クロスウェル」で7%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「PA -07民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。