Skip to main content
icon for Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?

5-9 94.6%

10-14 4.5%

20-24 3.8%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket

$23,286 Vol.

5-9 94.6%

10-14 4.5%

20-24 3.8%

15-19 2.0%

Polymarket

$23,286 Vol.

5-9

$6,160 Vol.

95%

10-14

$1,807 Vol.

4%

15-19

$1,997 Vol.

2%

20-24

$1,483 Vol.

4%

25-29

$961 Vol.

<1%

30-34

$1,320 Vol.

<1%

35-39

$350 Vol.

<1%

40-44

$371 Vol.

<1%

45-49

$399 Vol.

<1%

50-54

$381 Vol.

<1%

55-59

$351 Vol.

<1%

60+

$363 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's primary X account maintains a steady cadence of original posts, typically clustering in the low single digits per week outside major events. The July 28–August 4 window aligns with Arbaeen observances, prompting several thematically linked statements drawing on historical remarks about resistance and martyrdom, which has kept volume within the 5–9 range observed in comparable periods. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, reinforced by the absence of acute diplomatic or military developments that have previously prompted higher output. Outliers remain possible if sudden regional escalations or official statements trigger additional posts before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$23,286
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Khamenei's primary X account maintains a steady cadence of original posts, typically clustering in the low single digits per week outside major events. The July 28–August 4 window aligns with Arbaeen observances, prompting several thematically linked statements drawing on historical remarks about resistance and martyrdom, which has kept volume within the 5–9 range observed in comparable periods. Trader consensus reflects this established pattern, reinforced by the absence of acute diplomatic or military developments that have previously prompted higher output. Outliers remain possible if sudden regional escalations or official statements trigger additional posts before the period closes.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$23,286
終了日
2026/08/04
マーケット開始日
Jul 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between July 28, 12:00 PM ET and August 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「5-9」で95%、次いで「10-14」が4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、95¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に95%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?」は$23.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 25, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?」の現在のフロントランナーは「5-9」で95%であり、市場がこの結果に95%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「10-14」で4%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Khamenei # posts July 28 - August 4, 2026?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。