SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO at a targeted $1.75–2 trillion valuation anchors the 90.5% market-implied odds, driven by its Starlink constellation scaling, Starship reusability milestones, and February 2026 all-stock merger with xAI that integrates large language model capabilities into its space infrastructure platform. This positions the combined entity as a diversified aerospace and AI data-center play with projected 2025 revenue near $15–16 billion and EBITDA around $8 billion, far outpacing other 2026 IPO candidates. Anthropic’s October target and OpenAI’s later timeline remain distant by comparison. Realistic challenges include last-minute regulatory scrutiny of the filing, valuation compression amid broader tech volatility, or delays pushing the listing past year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日スペースX 92%
Anthropic 5.8%
OpenAI 2.9%
クラーケン <1%
$1,880,201 Vol.
$1,880,201 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
92%
Anthropic
6%
OpenAI
3%
クラーケン
1%
Waymo
<1%
Discord
<1%
バイトダンス
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
スペースX 92%
Anthropic 5.8%
OpenAI 2.9%
クラーケン <1%
$1,880,201 Vol.
$1,880,201 Vol.
2026/12/31
スペースX
$230,339 Vol.
92%
Anthropic
$359,925 Vol.
6%
OpenAI
$332,178 Vol.
3%
クラーケン
$386,056 Vol.
1%
Waymo
$59,355 Vol.
<1%
Discord
$82,519 Vol.
<1%
バイトダンス
$99,874 Vol.
<1%
Stripe
$52,018 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$70,693 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$52,782 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$68,723 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$85,863 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO at a targeted $1.75–2 trillion valuation anchors the 90.5% market-implied odds, driven by its Starlink constellation scaling, Starship reusability milestones, and February 2026 all-stock merger with xAI that integrates large language model capabilities into its space infrastructure platform. This positions the combined entity as a diversified aerospace and AI data-center play with projected 2025 revenue near $15–16 billion and EBITDA around $8 billion, far outpacing other 2026 IPO candidates. Anthropic’s October target and OpenAI’s later timeline remain distant by comparison. Realistic challenges include last-minute regulatory scrutiny of the filing, valuation compression amid broader tech volatility, or delays pushing the listing past year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
音量
$1,880,201終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO at a targeted $1.75–2 trillion valuation anchors the 90.5% market-implied odds, driven by its Starlink constellation scaling, Starship reusability milestones, and February 2026 all-stock merger with xAI that integrates large language model capabilities into its space infrastructure platform. This positions the combined entity as a diversified aerospace and AI data-center play with projected 2025 revenue near $15–16 billion and EBITDA around $8 billion, far outpacing other 2026 IPO candidates. Anthropic’s October target and OpenAI’s later timeline remain distant by comparison. Realistic challenges include last-minute regulatory scrutiny of the filing, valuation compression amid broader tech volatility, or delays pushing the listing past year-end.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$1,880,201終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX’s confidential SEC filing for a June 2026 IPO at a targeted $1.75–2 trillion valuation anchors the 90.5% market-implied odds, driven by its Starlink constellation scaling, Starship reusability milestones, and February 2026 all-stock merger with xAI that integrates large language model capabilities into its space infrastructure platform. This positions the combined entity as a diversified aerospace and AI data-center play with projected 2025 revenue near $15–16 billion and EBITDA around $8 billion, far outpacing other 2026 IPO candidates. Anthropic’s October target and OpenAI’s later timeline remain distant by comparison. Realistic challenges include last-minute regulatory scrutiny of the filing, valuation compression amid broader tech volatility, or delays pushing the listing past year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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