Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate the overnight low in Istanbul will stabilize near 19–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. High pressure and low humidity limit radiational cooling, while sustained winds prevent sharper drops typical of calmer September nights. Current surface observations showing temperatures holding above 20°C into the early morning reinforce trader consensus around these outcomes, with limited divergence across model runs reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
9月8日のイスタンブールの最低気温は？
21℃ 89%
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
17℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
16℃以下
1%
17℃
9%
18℃
4%
19°C
33%
20°C
31%
21℃
67%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
21℃ 89%
19°C 33%
20°C 31%
17℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
16℃以下
$22 Vol.
1%
17℃
$117 Vol.
9%
18℃
$35 Vol.
4%
19°C
$33 Vol.
33%
20°C
$0 Vol.
31%
21℃
$100 Vol.
67%
22℃
$65 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$43 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$880 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$25 Vol.
<1%
26℃以上
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate the overnight low in Istanbul will stabilize near 19–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. High pressure and low humidity limit radiational cooling, while sustained winds prevent sharper drops typical of calmer September nights. Current surface observations showing temperatures holding above 20°C into the early morning reinforce trader consensus around these outcomes, with limited divergence across model runs reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$1,335終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate the overnight low in Istanbul will stabilize near 19–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. High pressure and low humidity limit radiational cooling, while sustained winds prevent sharper drops typical of calmer September nights. Current surface observations showing temperatures holding above 20°C into the early morning reinforce trader consensus around these outcomes, with limited divergence across model runs reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,335終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate the overnight low in Istanbul will stabilize near 19–21°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds, supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities for those exact thresholds. High pressure and low humidity limit radiational cooling, while sustained winds prevent sharper drops typical of calmer September nights. Current surface observations showing temperatures holding above 20°C into the early morning reinforce trader consensus around these outcomes, with limited divergence across model runs reducing uncertainty for the daily minimum. No significant frontal systems or moisture advection are expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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