Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6月19日のマイアミの最低気温は?
82〜83°F 34%
74~75°F 32%
76〜77°F 27%
80〜81°F 22%
65°F以下
1%
66~67°F
1%
68~69°F
1%
70〜71°F
1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
32%
76〜77°F
27%
78~79°F
19%
80〜81°F
22%
82〜83°F
34%
華氏84度以上
19%
82〜83°F 34%
74~75°F 32%
76〜77°F 27%
80〜81°F 22%
65°F以下
1%
66~67°F
1%
68~69°F
1%
70〜71°F
1%
72~73°F
1%
74~75°F
32%
76〜77°F
27%
78~79°F
19%
80〜81°F
22%
82〜83°F
34%
華氏84度以上
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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