Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月15日の上海の最低気温は?
26°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$41,867 Vol.
$41,867 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃以上
いいえ
26°C 100.0%
20℃以下 <1%
21℃ <1%
22°C <1%
$41,867 Vol.
$41,867 Vol.
20℃以下
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25℃
いいえ
26°C
はい
27℃
いいえ
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃以上
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and numerical weather models indicate a minimum temperature of 26°C for Shanghai on August 15, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and light winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. Current station observations align with these projections, showing temperatures holding above this threshold through the evening under overcast conditions with scattered showers. Historical August climatology supports this baseline, with typical lows around 25–27°C amid the East Asian summer monsoon pattern. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this strong data agreement, though an unexpected clear-sky breakout or intensified cold advection from a passing front could theoretically allow further nocturnal drops before midnight resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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