**Forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency places Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 19 at 24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with only modest nocturnal cooling expected amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects.** Typical August overnight lows in central Tokyo average near 24 °C; the current pattern of light winds and cloud cover limits radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from dropping much below that baseline. Model consensus and recent observations show little deviation, so traders have concentrated probability on 24 °C (37 %) and 25 °C (49.5 %), with the slight tilt toward 25 °C reflecting uncertainty margins in exact urban-station readings. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are indicated in the short-term outlook that would alter this range before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月19日の東京の最低気温は?
25℃ 50%
24℃ 37%
23℃ 7%
26°C 5%
20℃以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23℃
7%
24℃
37%
25℃
50%
26°C
5%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
25℃ 50%
24℃ 37%
23℃ 7%
26°C 5%
20℃以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23℃
7%
24℃
37%
25℃
50%
26°C
5%
27℃
2%
28℃
1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency places Tokyo’s minimum temperature for August 19 at 24 °C under mostly cloudy skies, with only modest nocturnal cooling expected amid high humidity and urban heat-island effects.** Typical August overnight lows in central Tokyo average near 24 °C; the current pattern of light winds and cloud cover limits radiative cooling, keeping the mercury from dropping much below that baseline. Model consensus and recent observations show little deviation, so traders have concentrated probability on 24 °C (37 %) and 25 °C (49.5 %), with the slight tilt toward 25 °C reflecting uncertainty margins in exact urban-station readings. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences are indicated in the short-term outlook that would alter this range before the market resolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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