The US trade embargo, codified in law and intensified through 2026 executive orders and designations targeting Cuban state entities in mining, construction, and finance, continues to bar American companies like McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island absent specific OFAC licenses, which remain unavailable. Cuban reforms announced in June 2026 by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz to permit foreign franchises and private restaurant chains prompted public speculation, yet President Miguel Díaz-Canel framed any openings around strict “conditions of equality” without naming McDonald’s or confirming negotiations. Escalating secondary sanctions and enforcement actions through August have further deterred US-headquartered firms and their partners, outweighing the theoretical policy shift and sustaining trader consensus against any 2026 announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, codified in law and intensified through 2026 executive orders and designations targeting Cuban state entities in mining, construction, and finance, continues to bar American companies like McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island absent specific OFAC licenses, which remain unavailable. Cuban reforms announced in June 2026 by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz to permit foreign franchises and private restaurant chains prompted public speculation, yet President Miguel Díaz-Canel framed any openings around strict “conditions of equality” without naming McDonald’s or confirming negotiations. Escalating secondary sanctions and enforcement actions through August have further deterred US-headquartered firms and their partners, outweighing the theoretical policy shift and sustaining trader consensus against any 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
音量
$1,425終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The US trade embargo, codified in law and intensified through 2026 executive orders and designations targeting Cuban state entities in mining, construction, and finance, continues to bar American companies like McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island absent specific OFAC licenses, which remain unavailable. Cuban reforms announced in June 2026 by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz to permit foreign franchises and private restaurant chains prompted public speculation, yet President Miguel Díaz-Canel framed any openings around strict “conditions of equality” without naming McDonald’s or confirming negotiations. Escalating secondary sanctions and enforcement actions through August have further deterred US-headquartered firms and their partners, outweighing the theoretical policy shift and sustaining trader consensus against any 2026 announcement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$1,425終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US trade embargo, codified in law and intensified through 2026 executive orders and designations targeting Cuban state entities in mining, construction, and finance, continues to bar American companies like McDonald’s from commercial operations on the island absent specific OFAC licenses, which remain unavailable. Cuban reforms announced in June 2026 by Prime Minister Manuel Marrero Cruz to permit foreign franchises and private restaurant chains prompted public speculation, yet President Miguel Díaz-Canel framed any openings around strict “conditions of equality” without naming McDonald’s or confirming negotiations. Escalating secondary sanctions and enforcement actions through August have further deterred US-headquartered firms and their partners, outweighing the theoretical policy shift and sustaining trader consensus against any 2026 announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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