Despite President Trump's repeated threats labeling Cuba a national security threat and "next" target, U.S. officials emphasized on May 7 no imminent military action, prioritizing expanded sanctions via executive orders in early May targeting Cuba's military elites and repression. A surge in U.S. spy plane and drone surveillance near Cuba—up sharply since February—continues amid Pentagon contingency planning reported in April, yet lacks visible troop mobilizations or congressional authorization for invasion. The Senate's April 29 rejection of a resolution barring such action underscores partisan divides, but trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects de-escalation signals like a recent U.S. aid offer and historical aversion to direct intervention, with no major catalysts in the past week shifting odds toward escalation by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,970,226 Vol.
$1,970,226 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$1,970,226 Vol.
$1,970,226 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Despite President Trump's repeated threats labeling Cuba a national security threat and "next" target, U.S. officials emphasized on May 7 no imminent military action, prioritizing expanded sanctions via executive orders in early May targeting Cuba's military elites and repression. A surge in U.S. spy plane and drone surveillance near Cuba—up sharply since February—continues amid Pentagon contingency planning reported in April, yet lacks visible troop mobilizations or congressional authorization for invasion. The Senate's April 29 rejection of a resolution barring such action underscores partisan divides, but trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects de-escalation signals like a recent U.S. aid offer and historical aversion to direct intervention, with no major catalysts in the past week shifting odds toward escalation by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ET
音量
$1,970,226終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.Despite President Trump's repeated threats labeling Cuba a national security threat and "next" target, U.S. officials emphasized on May 7 no imminent military action, prioritizing expanded sanctions via executive orders in early May targeting Cuba's military elites and repression. A surge in U.S. spy plane and drone surveillance near Cuba—up sharply since February—continues amid Pentagon contingency planning reported in April, yet lacks visible troop mobilizations or congressional authorization for invasion. The Senate's April 29 rejection of a resolution barring such action underscores partisan divides, but trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects de-escalation signals like a recent U.S. aid offer and historical aversion to direct intervention, with no major catalysts in the past week shifting odds toward escalation by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$1,970,226終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Despite President Trump's repeated threats labeling Cuba a national security threat and "next" target, U.S. officials emphasized on May 7 no imminent military action, prioritizing expanded sanctions via executive orders in early May targeting Cuba's military elites and repression. A surge in U.S. spy plane and drone surveillance near Cuba—up sharply since February—continues amid Pentagon contingency planning reported in April, yet lacks visible troop mobilizations or congressional authorization for invasion. The Senate's April 29 rejection of a resolution barring such action underscores partisan divides, but trader consensus at 76.5% "No" reflects de-escalation signals like a recent U.S. aid offer and historical aversion to direct intervention, with no major catalysts in the past week shifting odds toward escalation by year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問