U.S.-Colombia ties, long anchored in major non-NATO ally status, counternarcotics cooperation, and trade agreements, underpin trader consensus against an invasion in 2026. Early-year strains arose after U.S. operations in Venezuela and public remarks linking Colombian drug flows to the Petro administration, prompting aid pauses, ambassador recalls, and heated rhetoric, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or sustained military planning. Colombia’s May 2026 presidential election and August transition to a new administration facilitated diplomatic engagement, restored assistance, and a policy reset focused on shared security priorities. With limited time remaining in the year and no active escalation signals, traders assign low probability to a reversal absent abrupt developments such as unforeseen regional crises or sudden bilateral breakdowns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$148,666 Vol.
$148,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$148,666 Vol.
$148,666 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S.-Colombia ties, long anchored in major non-NATO ally status, counternarcotics cooperation, and trade agreements, underpin trader consensus against an invasion in 2026. Early-year strains arose after U.S. operations in Venezuela and public remarks linking Colombian drug flows to the Petro administration, prompting aid pauses, ambassador recalls, and heated rhetoric, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or sustained military planning. Colombia’s May 2026 presidential election and August transition to a new administration facilitated diplomatic engagement, restored assistance, and a policy reset focused on shared security priorities. With limited time remaining in the year and no active escalation signals, traders assign low probability to a reversal absent abrupt developments such as unforeseen regional crises or sudden bilateral breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
音量
$148,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S.-Colombia ties, long anchored in major non-NATO ally status, counternarcotics cooperation, and trade agreements, underpin trader consensus against an invasion in 2026. Early-year strains arose after U.S. operations in Venezuela and public remarks linking Colombian drug flows to the Petro administration, prompting aid pauses, ambassador recalls, and heated rhetoric, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or sustained military planning. Colombia’s May 2026 presidential election and August transition to a new administration facilitated diplomatic engagement, restored assistance, and a policy reset focused on shared security priorities. With limited time remaining in the year and no active escalation signals, traders assign low probability to a reversal absent abrupt developments such as unforeseen regional crises or sudden bilateral breakdowns.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$148,666終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S.-Colombia ties, long anchored in major non-NATO ally status, counternarcotics cooperation, and trade agreements, underpin trader consensus against an invasion in 2026. Early-year strains arose after U.S. operations in Venezuela and public remarks linking Colombian drug flows to the Petro administration, prompting aid pauses, ambassador recalls, and heated rhetoric, yet produced no troop deployments, congressional authorizations, or sustained military planning. Colombia’s May 2026 presidential election and August transition to a new administration facilitated diplomatic engagement, restored assistance, and a policy reset focused on shared security priorities. With limited time remaining in the year and no active escalation signals, traders assign low probability to a reversal absent abrupt developments such as unforeseen regional crises or sudden bilateral breakdowns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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