The U.S. approach to Latin America in 2026 centers on counter-narcotics cooperation with aligned governments rather than unilateral military invasions. Following the January special forces operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro, Washington has emphasized joint task forces, maritime interdictions of suspected drug vessels, and land-based partnerships in countries including Colombia, Ecuador, and others under the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force. Recent diplomatic moves, such as Secretary Rubio’s September engagements and military aid reallocations to partner nations, reinforce this pattern of collaboration with conservative administrations. No official announcements or verified deployments indicate plans for additional full-scale invasions of sovereign states before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
7% 確率
$276,980 Vol.
$276,980 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
7% 確率
$276,980 Vol.
$276,980 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. approach to Latin America in 2026 centers on counter-narcotics cooperation with aligned governments rather than unilateral military invasions. Following the January special forces operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro, Washington has emphasized joint task forces, maritime interdictions of suspected drug vessels, and land-based partnerships in countries including Colombia, Ecuador, and others under the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force. Recent diplomatic moves, such as Secretary Rubio’s September engagements and military aid reallocations to partner nations, reinforce this pattern of collaboration with conservative administrations. No official announcements or verified deployments indicate plans for additional full-scale invasions of sovereign states before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
マーケット開始日： Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
音量
$276,980終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The U.S. approach to Latin America in 2026 centers on counter-narcotics cooperation with aligned governments rather than unilateral military invasions. Following the January special forces operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro, Washington has emphasized joint task forces, maritime interdictions of suspected drug vessels, and land-based partnerships in countries including Colombia, Ecuador, and others under the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force. Recent diplomatic moves, such as Secretary Rubio’s September engagements and military aid reallocations to partner nations, reinforce this pattern of collaboration with conservative administrations. No official announcements or verified deployments indicate plans for additional full-scale invasions of sovereign states before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
音量
$276,980終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The U.S. approach to Latin America in 2026 centers on counter-narcotics cooperation with aligned governments rather than unilateral military invasions. Following the January special forces operation in Venezuela that captured Nicolás Maduro, Washington has emphasized joint task forces, maritime interdictions of suspected drug vessels, and land-based partnerships in countries including Colombia, Ecuador, and others under the Americas Counter-Cartel Coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force. Recent diplomatic moves, such as Secretary Rubio’s September engagements and military aid reallocations to partner nations, reinforce this pattern of collaboration with conservative administrations. No official announcements or verified deployments indicate plans for additional full-scale invasions of sovereign states before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for “No.”
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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