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icon for Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing Ever Happens: July

icon for Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing Ever Happens: July

Nothing

77% 確率
Polymarket
新規

Nothing

77% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdfScheduled events including the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7–8 and the ongoing FIFA World Cup through July 19 create potential catalysts for major diplomatic announcements or security developments that could register as significant occurrences. Algerian parliamentary voting on July 2, the UN High-level Political Forum, and U.S. semiquincentennial observances add layers of political activity, while broader uncertainties around global trade measures and active conflicts maintain the chance of unexpected escalations or breakthroughs. This mix of predictable milestones and unresolved tensions produces the even split in trader assessments of whether the month will feature notable shifts in international affairs or domestic policy.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July
31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- USA or any African Country wins the World Cup
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Fed decides any change in July
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
音量
$3,134
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdfScheduled events including the NATO summit in Ankara on July 7–8 and the ongoing FIFA World Cup through July 19 create potential catalysts for major diplomatic announcements or security developments that could register as significant occurrences. Algerian parliamentary voting on July 2, the UN High-level Political Forum, and U.S. semiquincentennial observances add layers of political activity, while broader uncertainties around global trade measures and active conflicts maintain the chance of unexpected escalations or breakthroughs. This mix of predictable milestones and unresolved tensions produces the even split in trader assessments of whether the month will feature notable shifts in international affairs or domestic policy.

This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July
31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- USA or any African Country wins the World Cup
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- Fed decides any change in July
- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf
音量
$3,134
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
Jun 26, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - USA or any African Country wins the World Cup - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Fed decides any change in July - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_July.pdf

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Nothing Ever Happens: July」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Nothing Ever Happens: July」で77%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Nothing Ever Happens: July」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Nothing Ever Happens: July」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Nothing Ever Happens: July」の現在のフロントランナーは「Nothing Ever Happens: July」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Nothing Ever Happens: July」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。