Midway through May 2026, Polymarket traders price "Nothing" at 84% implied probability for this geopolitics parlay, reflecting the absence of any triggering events since market creation: no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejections; no Iranian leadership change without official announcements; WTI crude oil prices stable well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; no US military action against Cuba; no US confirmation of aliens; and Russia focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Ongoing de-escalation signals in key flashpoints, including measured responses in US-Iran talks, sustain trader consensus for a quiet resolution by May 31, though sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations could shift odds rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日何もない
$84,677 Vol.
$84,677 Vol.
2026/05/31
何もない
$84,677 Vol.
$84,677 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfMidway through May 2026, Polymarket traders price "Nothing" at 84% implied probability for this geopolitics parlay, reflecting the absence of any triggering events since market creation: no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejections; no Iranian leadership change without official announcements; WTI crude oil prices stable well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; no US military action against Cuba; no US confirmation of aliens; and Russia focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Ongoing de-escalation signals in key flashpoints, including measured responses in US-Iran talks, sustain trader consensus for a quiet resolution by May 31, though sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
音量
$84,677終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdfMidway through May 2026, Polymarket traders price "Nothing" at 84% implied probability for this geopolitics parlay, reflecting the absence of any triggering events since market creation: no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejections; no Iranian leadership change without official announcements; WTI crude oil prices stable well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; no US military action against Cuba; no US confirmation of aliens; and Russia focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Ongoing de-escalation signals in key flashpoints, including measured responses in US-Iran talks, sustain trader consensus for a quiet resolution by May 31, though sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations could shift odds rapidly.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
- US x Iran permanent peace deal
- Iran leadership change
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150
- US military action against Cuba
- US confirms that aliens exist
- Russia invades a NATO country
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH_MAY.pdf
音量
$84,677終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 3:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Midway through May 2026, Polymarket traders price "Nothing" at 84% implied probability for this geopolitics parlay, reflecting the absence of any triggering events since market creation: no US-Iran permanent peace deal amid stalled bilateral diplomacy and Tehran's rejections; no Iranian leadership change without official announcements; WTI crude oil prices stable well below $150 per barrel despite Middle East tensions; no US military action against Cuba; no US confirmation of aliens; and Russia focused on Ukraine without NATO incursions. Ongoing de-escalation signals in key flashpoints, including measured responses in US-Iran talks, sustain trader consensus for a quiet resolution by May 31, though sudden diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations could shift odds rapidly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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