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icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

icon for ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

80-99 41%

40-59 40%

20~39 39%

60-79 39%

Polymarket
新規

80-99 41%

40-59 40%

20~39 39%

60-79 39%

Polymarket
新規

20未満

$0 Vol.

4%

20~39

$0 Vol.

39%

40-59

$0 Vol.

40%

60-79

$0 Vol.

39%

80-99

$0 Vol.

41%

100-119

$0 Vol.

38%

120-139

$105 Vol.

1%

140-159

$125 Vol.

1%

160-179

$438 Vol.

7%

180-199

$228 Vol.

2%

200以上

$20 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor in January 2026 after the 2025 election, maintains an active social media presence across official channels including @NYCMayor on X.** His approach emphasizes frequent updates on city initiatives, community events, and policy priorities to reach younger voters and maintain narrative control. Recent activity includes multiple posts tied to the New York Knicks championship celebrations in mid-June, Juneteenth observances on June 19, World Cup viewing partnerships via LinkNYC kiosks, and ongoing efforts around SNAP benefits and early childhood programs. The closely matched trader consensus across mid-range bins (roughly 20–119 posts) reflects uncertainty over the precise weekly volume during June 23–30. Posting cadence can vary with breaking local developments, scheduled ceremonies, sports-related announcements, or routine governance updates, without any single dominant story or holiday currently anchoring the period. Historical patterns from his campaign and early term show sustained high output when events cluster, but quieter weeks produce lower totals. Developments such as major policy rollouts, public safety incidents, or additional sports or cultural programming in the resolution window could shift probabilities by altering the news cycle intensity and prompting more official commentary.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$710
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani, who took office as NYC mayor in January 2026 after the 2025 election, maintains an active social media presence across official channels including @NYCMayor on X.** His approach emphasizes frequent updates on city initiatives, community events, and policy priorities to reach younger voters and maintain narrative control. Recent activity includes multiple posts tied to the New York Knicks championship celebrations in mid-June, Juneteenth observances on June 19, World Cup viewing partnerships via LinkNYC kiosks, and ongoing efforts around SNAP benefits and early childhood programs. The closely matched trader consensus across mid-range bins (roughly 20–119 posts) reflects uncertainty over the precise weekly volume during June 23–30. Posting cadence can vary with breaking local developments, scheduled ceremonies, sports-related announcements, or routine governance updates, without any single dominant story or holiday currently anchoring the period. Historical patterns from his campaign and early term show sustained high output when events cluster, but quieter weeks produce lower totals. Developments such as major policy rollouts, public safety incidents, or additional sports or cultural programming in the resolution window could shift probabilities by altering the news cycle intensity and prompting more official commentary.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$710
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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よくある質問

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「80-99」で41%、次いで「20~39」が40%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 20, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「80-99」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20~39」で40%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ニューヨーク市長#ポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。