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icon for ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

icon for ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?

120-139 24%

100-119 23%

140-159 16%

80-99 15%

Polymarket
新規

120-139 24%

100-119 23%

140-159 16%

80-99 15%

Polymarket
新規

<20

$50 Vol.

1%

20-39

$50 Vol.

1%

40-59

$65 Vol.

3%

60-79

$44 Vol.

9%

80-99

$44 Vol.

15%

100-119

$44 Vol.

23%

120-139

$44 Vol.

24%

140-159

$44 Vol.

16%

160-179

$44 Vol.

11%

180〜199

$44 Vol.

7%

200以上

$44 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$517
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s Truth Social activity during the final week of June 2026 remains tightly contested because historical daily averages of 18–27 posts produce weekly totals that cluster around 120–160, placing the leading 120–139 range only modestly ahead of several adjacent buckets at 41.5 percent. Recent monthly data show consistent high-volume output punctuated by late-night spikes and event-driven surges, yet no major scheduled catalysts or policy deadlines fall inside the resolution window to anchor expectations. Traders therefore price in normal variation from quiet stretches versus sudden barrages tied to breaking developments, legislative moves, or international updates. A single multi-hour posting session or an unforeseen foreign-policy flashpoint could rapidly shift volume into the 160-plus tiers, while an unusually low-news period might pull totals toward the 100–119 or lower ranges still carrying meaningful probability.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
音量
$517
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 23, 12:00 PM ET and June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「120-139」で24%、次いで「100-119」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、24¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に24%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 20, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」の現在のフロントランナーは「120-139」で24%であり、市場がこの結果に24%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「100-119」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ドナルド・トランプ# Truthソーシャルポスト2026年6月23日~ 6月30日?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。