OpenAI's completed 2025 restructuring into a for-profit public benefit corporation, with Microsoft holding a minority 27% stake valued at roughly $135 billion, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The amended April 2026 partnership further grants OpenAI flexibility to partner with rivals like Amazon, reducing exclusivity and signaling sustained independence as the company focuses on its own large language model development and smaller acquisitions. While a surprise full buyout by Microsoft or another major player remains theoretically possible amid competitive AI pressures, the recent capitalization, revenue-sharing terms, and lack of regulatory or strategic catalysts make such an outcome highly improbable through the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
4% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's completed 2025 restructuring into a for-profit public benefit corporation, with Microsoft holding a minority 27% stake valued at roughly $135 billion, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The amended April 2026 partnership further grants OpenAI flexibility to partner with rivals like Amazon, reducing exclusivity and signaling sustained independence as the company focuses on its own large language model development and smaller acquisitions. While a surprise full buyout by Microsoft or another major player remains theoretically possible amid competitive AI pressures, the recent capitalization, revenue-sharing terms, and lack of regulatory or strategic catalysts make such an outcome highly improbable through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ET
音量
$4,589終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI's completed 2025 restructuring into a for-profit public benefit corporation, with Microsoft holding a minority 27% stake valued at roughly $135 billion, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The amended April 2026 partnership further grants OpenAI flexibility to partner with rivals like Amazon, reducing exclusivity and signaling sustained independence as the company focuses on its own large language model development and smaller acquisitions. While a surprise full buyout by Microsoft or another major player remains theoretically possible amid competitive AI pressures, the recent capitalization, revenue-sharing terms, and lack of regulatory or strategic catalysts make such an outcome highly improbable through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mergers where OpenAI is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution.
An announced agreement between OpenAI and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$4,589終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's completed 2025 restructuring into a for-profit public benefit corporation, with Microsoft holding a minority 27% stake valued at roughly $135 billion, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus against an acquisition before 2027. The amended April 2026 partnership further grants OpenAI flexibility to partner with rivals like Amazon, reducing exclusivity and signaling sustained independence as the company focuses on its own large language model development and smaller acquisitions. While a surprise full buyout by Microsoft or another major player remains theoretically possible amid competitive AI pressures, the recent capitalization, revenue-sharing terms, and lack of regulatory or strategic catalysts make such an outcome highly improbable through the end of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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