**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 95% implied probability because the relevant Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare—most likely the high-profile chase card from the 2026 Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes set—currently trades in the $950–$1,050 raw range on major platforms like TCGplayer and eBay, with recent sales showing modest downward pressure.** New product releases, including the Japanese 30th Celebration sets dropping mid-September, have broadened supply of Pikachu ex variants and redirected collector attention, capping upward momentum in the final weeks before resolution. Historical patterns for similar SIR chase cards indicate that prices rarely spike dramatically in the short window after major drops without exceptional grading news or viral demand. While an unexpected surge in graded PSA 10 submissions or a last-minute social media-driven buying wave could theoretically push the ungraded price above the $1,059.87 threshold, such catalysts would need to materialize quickly and overcome the current soft market trajectory to overcome the strong trader alignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月30日のピカチュウEX価格は1,059.87 $を超えていますか？
9月30日のピカチュウEX価格は1,059.87 $を超えていますか？
上回る
5% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
上回る
5% 確率
新規
新規
2026/09/30
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 95% implied probability because the relevant Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare—most likely the high-profile chase card from the 2026 Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes set—currently trades in the $950–$1,050 raw range on major platforms like TCGplayer and eBay, with recent sales showing modest downward pressure.**
New product releases, including the Japanese 30th Celebration sets dropping mid-September, have broadened supply of Pikachu ex variants and redirected collector attention, capping upward momentum in the final weeks before resolution. Historical patterns for similar SIR chase cards indicate that prices rarely spike dramatically in the short window after major drops without exceptional grading news or viral demand. While an unexpected surge in graded PSA 10 submissions or a last-minute social media-driven buying wave could theoretically push the ungraded price above the $1,059.87 threshold, such catalysts would need to materialize quickly and overcome the current soft market trajectory to overcome the strong trader alignment.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
音量
$4,836終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 95% implied probability because the relevant Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare—most likely the high-profile chase card from the 2026 Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes set—currently trades in the $950–$1,050 raw range on major platforms like TCGplayer and eBay, with recent sales showing modest downward pressure.**
New product releases, including the Japanese 30th Celebration sets dropping mid-September, have broadened supply of Pikachu ex variants and redirected collector attention, capping upward momentum in the final weeks before resolution. Historical patterns for similar SIR chase cards indicate that prices rarely spike dramatically in the short window after major drops without exceptional grading news or viral demand. While an unexpected surge in graded PSA 10 submissions or a last-minute social media-driven buying wave could theoretically push the ungraded price above the $1,059.87 threshold, such catalysts would need to materialize quickly and overcome the current soft market trajectory to overcome the strong trader alignment.
This market will resolve to “Over” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is greater than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
This market will resolve to “Under” if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is less than $1,059.87.
This market will resolve 50-50 if the Ungraded Price of Pikachu ex (Ascended Heroes, Special Illustration Rare 276/217) on September 30, 2026 according to Collectr is exactly equal to $1,059.87.
This market will resolve according to the first publication of the final Ungraded Price value for the specified date. Any later revisions or retractions will not be considered.
If no final Ungraded Price value for the specified date has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day after the specified date, this market will resolve based on the final Ungraded Price value for the most recent date preceding the specified date for which such a value is available as of that time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or it ceases to publish and make available the Ungraded Price of the specified item, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the “Ungraded Price” for the specified item on Collectr (https://app.getcollectr.com/).
音量
$4,836終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 PM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors the Under at 95% implied probability because the relevant Pikachu ex Special Illustration Rare—most likely the high-profile chase card from the 2026 Mega Evolution: Ascended Heroes set—currently trades in the $950–$1,050 raw range on major platforms like TCGplayer and eBay, with recent sales showing modest downward pressure.** New product releases, including the Japanese 30th Celebration sets dropping mid-September, have broadened supply of Pikachu ex variants and redirected collector attention, capping upward momentum in the final weeks before resolution. Historical patterns for similar SIR chase cards indicate that prices rarely spike dramatically in the short window after major drops without exceptional grading news or viral demand. While an unexpected surge in graded PSA 10 submissions or a last-minute social media-driven buying wave could theoretically push the ungraded price above the $1,059.87 threshold, such catalysts would need to materialize quickly and overcome the current soft market trajectory to overcome the strong trader alignment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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