Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「忘れられた島」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
「忘れられた島」オープニングウィークエンド・ボックスオフィス
2,200万～2,500万ドル 38%
1,300万未満 19%
1,300万〜1,600万ドル 17%
1,600万～1,900万ドル 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
1,300万未満
19%
1,300万〜1,600万ドル
17%
1,600万～1,900万ドル
14%
1,900万～2,200万ドル
14%
2,200万～2,500万ドル
38%
2,500万ドル以上
15%
2,200万～2,500万ドル 38%
1,300万未満 19%
1,300万〜1,600万ドル 17%
1,600万～1,900万ドル 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
1,300万未満
$0 Vol.
19%
1,300万〜1,600万ドル
$0 Vol.
17%
1,600万～1,900万ドル
$0 Vol.
14%
1,900万～2,200万ドル
$0 Vol.
14%
2,200万～2,500万ドル
$14 Vol.
38%
2,500万ドル以上
$7 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
音量
$21終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
This market will resolve according to how much "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$21終了日
2026/09/27マーケット開始日
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent tracking data showing *Forgotten Island* heading toward a $15 million domestic opening has anchored trader sentiment around the 22-25 million range as the consensus favorite at 37.5% implied probability. As an original DreamWorks Animation title drawing on Filipino mythology with no preexisting IP or book franchise, the film faces the typical challenges of building awareness in a late-September slot, where comparable releases like *Abominable* ($20.6M) and *The Bad Guys* ($23.9M) set benchmarks. A scanty marketing push and competition from other fall titles have tempered earlier $20-30M forecasts, pushing lower brackets like sub-$13M and 13-16M into stronger contention. The September 25 release leaves little time for last-minute buzz or presale shifts to alter the current market-implied odds before the three-day weekend locks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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