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icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?
Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

icon for Sam Altman in jail by...?
Tech·OpenAI

Sam Altman in jail by...?

$46,435 Vol.

2025/12/31
Polymarket

$46,435 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$20,089 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman's legal exposure centers on civil litigation rather than criminal proceedings.** His sister's amended civil suit alleging historical sexual abuse remains ongoing in Missouri federal court after partial dismissal on statute-of-limitations grounds, with Altman denying claims and countersuing for defamation. A separate June 2026 Florida civil action targets OpenAI and Altman personally over ChatGPT's alleged risks to minors. No criminal charges or indictments have been filed. Traders assess negligible near-term jail risk given the civil nature of cases, OpenAI's continued product momentum, and Altman's active policy engagement. Key watchpoints include any criminal referrals from state probes or shifts in the sister's case trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,435
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Sam Altman's legal exposure centers on civil litigation rather than criminal proceedings.** His sister's amended civil suit alleging historical sexual abuse remains ongoing in Missouri federal court after partial dismissal on statute-of-limitations grounds, with Altman denying claims and countersuing for defamation. A separate June 2026 Florida civil action targets OpenAI and Altman personally over ChatGPT's alleged risks to minors. No criminal charges or indictments have been filed. Traders assess negligible near-term jail risk given the civil nature of cases, OpenAI's continued product momentum, and Altman's active policy engagement. Key watchpoints include any criminal referrals from state probes or shifts in the sister's case trajectory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$46,435
終了日
2025/12/31
マーケット開始日
Nov 6, 2025, 7:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Sam Altman in jail by...?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「 June 30, 2026」で0%、次いで「December 31, 2025」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Sam Altman in jail by...?」は$46.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Nov 6, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Sam Altman in jail by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Sam Altman in jail by...?」の現在のリーダーは「 June 30, 2026」でわずか0%、「December 31, 2025」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Sam Altman in jail by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。