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icon for SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·プライマリ

SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

icon for SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者
選挙·プライマリ

SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

マーク・スミス 68%

アレックス・ペルバス 16%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 3.9%

ジェイ・バイヤーズ 3.6%

Polymarket

$14,344 Vol.

マーク・スミス 68%

アレックス・ペルバス 16%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 3.9%

ジェイ・バイヤーズ 3.6%

Polymarket

$14,344 Vol.

マーク・スミス

$5,629 Vol.

68%

アレックス・ペルバス

$2,462 Vol.

16%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット

$643 Vol.

4%

ジェイ・バイヤーズ

$681 Vol.

4%

ジャック・エリソン

$945 Vol.

3%

サム・マッカウン

$2,007 Vol.

2%

ジャスティン・マイヤーズ

$603 Vol.

1%

ダン・ブラウン

$641 Vol.

1%

ローガン・カニンガム

$733 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands 68% trader consensus as the Republican primary frontrunner for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, bolstered by his April 16 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. Smith's incumbency advantage, $727,000 in fundraising through late March, and grassroots momentum in the crowded 11-candidate field explain his lead, while Pelbath's military background and $366,000 raised secure second place at 17%. No formal polls exist, but the fragmented ballot favors top contenders ahead of the June 9 primary; former Gov. Mark Sanford's late April withdrawal minimally shifted dynamics amid ongoing legislative talks on potential primary delays via redistricting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,344
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands 68% trader consensus as the Republican primary frontrunner for South Carolina's open 1st Congressional District seat, vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, bolstered by his April 16 GOP forum straw poll win at 34.1% among attendees—edging retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. Smith's incumbency advantage, $727,000 in fundraising through late March, and grassroots momentum in the crowded 11-candidate field explain his lead, while Pelbath's military background and $366,000 raised secure second place at 17%. No formal polls exist, but the fragmented ballot favors top contenders ahead of the June 9 primary; former Gov. Mark Sanford's late April withdrawal minimally shifted dynamics amid ongoing legislative talks on potential primary delays via redistricting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$14,344
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーク・スミス」で68%、次いで「アレックス・ペルバス」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、68¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に68%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」は$14.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーク・スミス」で68%であり、市場がこの結果に68%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「アレックス・ペルバス」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。