Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングデイ・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
「スパイダーマン：ブラン・ニュー・デイ」オープニングデイ・ボックスオフィス（ハイストライク）
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル 65%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル 55%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル 51%
152-157百万ドル 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
2026/07/31
1億5200万ドル未満
3%
152-157百万ドル
48%
1億5700万～1億6200万ドル
12%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル
55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル
65%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル
51%
1億7700万～1億8200万ドル
11%
1億8200万ドル以上
11%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル 65%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル 55%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル 51%
152-157百万ドル 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
2026/07/31
1億5200万ドル未満
$10 Vol.
3%
152-157百万ドル
$0 Vol.
48%
1億5700万～1億6200万ドル
$0 Vol.
12%
1億6200万～1億6700万ドル
$100 Vol.
55%
1億6700万〜1億7200万ドル
$0 Vol.
65%
1億7200万～1億7700万ドル
$0 Vol.
51%
1億7700万～1億8200万ドル
$0 Vol.
11%
1億8200万ドル以上
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
音量
$110終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
音量
$110終了日
2026/07/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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