Alibaba holds a 71.9% implied probability of finishing third on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of August, driven by its Qwen3.8-max model’s consistent 1669 score behind Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max (1691) and Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max (1674) as of mid-August updates. The narrow gaps reflect strong Chinese model performance on agentic frontend tasks such as UI generation, framework integration, and responsive design, with Alibaba benefiting from stable rankings since July without disruptive new releases from competitors. Moonshot at 13.5% trails due to its recent #2 positioning, while Western labs like OpenAI (2.5%) and Google (1.5%) lag further back amid slower gains on this specific benchmark. Traders appear focused on minimal near-term volatility before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日アリババ 71.8%
ムーンショット 13.5%
Z.ai 10.0%
OpenAI 2.5%
$46,669 Vol.
$46,669 Vol.

アリババ
72%

ムーンショット
13%

Z.ai
10%

OpenAI
3%

Meta
2%

DeepSeek
2%

1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Anthropic
1%

ByteDance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Thinky
<1%

テンセント
<1%

Poolside
<1%

ミストラル
<1%
アリババ 71.8%
ムーンショット 13.5%
Z.ai 10.0%
OpenAI 2.5%
$46,669 Vol.
$46,669 Vol.

アリババ
72%

ムーンショット
13%

Z.ai
10%

OpenAI
3%

Meta
2%

DeepSeek
2%

1%

SpaceXAI
1%

Anthropic
1%

ByteDance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Thinky
<1%

テンセント
<1%

Poolside
<1%

ミストラル
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
マーケット開始日: Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Alibaba holds a 71.9% implied probability of finishing third on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of August, driven by its Qwen3.8-max model’s consistent 1669 score behind Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5-max (1691) and Moonshot’s Kimi K3-max (1674) as of mid-August updates. The narrow gaps reflect strong Chinese model performance on agentic frontend tasks such as UI generation, framework integration, and responsive design, with Alibaba benefiting from stable rankings since July without disruptive new releases from competitors. Moonshot at 13.5% trails due to its recent #2 positioning, while Western labs like OpenAI (2.5%) and Google (1.5%) lag further back amid slower gains on this specific benchmark. Traders appear focused on minimal near-term volatility before month-end resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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