President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its 11-member commission, which has held roughly 20 meetings since 2025 and plans further consultations with lawmakers and civil society. Recent statements from senior AK Party officials, including Deputy Chair Hayati Yazıcı in mid-May 2026, confirm ongoing evaluation of provisions and road-map development, yet no draft has been submitted for parliamentary debate or referendum scheduling. Traders price the low likelihood of a formal move in 2026 on the absence of a broad coalition capable of securing the required supermajority or public vote, consistent with past constitutional reforms that stalled without cross-party backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
はい
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its 11-member commission, which has held roughly 20 meetings since 2025 and plans further consultations with lawmakers and civil society. Recent statements from senior AK Party officials, including Deputy Chair Hayati Yazıcı in mid-May 2026, confirm ongoing evaluation of provisions and road-map development, yet no draft has been submitted for parliamentary debate or referendum scheduling. Traders price the low likelihood of a formal move in 2026 on the absence of a broad coalition capable of securing the required supermajority or public vote, consistent with past constitutional reforms that stalled without cross-party backing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
音量
$1,631終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its 11-member commission, which has held roughly 20 meetings since 2025 and plans further consultations with lawmakers and civil society. Recent statements from senior AK Party officials, including Deputy Chair Hayati Yazıcı in mid-May 2026, confirm ongoing evaluation of provisions and road-map development, yet no draft has been submitted for parliamentary debate or referendum scheduling. Traders price the low likelihood of a formal move in 2026 on the absence of a broad coalition capable of securing the required supermajority or public vote, consistent with past constitutional reforms that stalled without cross-party backing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a referendum to adopt a new constitution in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey to adopt a new constitution. Referenda to approve one or more amendments to the Constitution will not qualify.
Qualifying announcements must specify a date for the referendum or definitively announce that a referendum will be held. An announcement by the specified date will qualify regardless of when the referendum is scheduled to be held.
If a new constitution is officially adopted within the specified timeframe without a referendum (e.g., via the required parliamentary supermajority), this market will immediately resolve this market to “Yes.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,631終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party continues preparatory work on a new civilian constitution through its 11-member commission, which has held roughly 20 meetings since 2025 and plans further consultations with lawmakers and civil society. Recent statements from senior AK Party officials, including Deputy Chair Hayati Yazıcı in mid-May 2026, confirm ongoing evaluation of provisions and road-map development, yet no draft has been submitted for parliamentary debate or referendum scheduling. Traders price the low likelihood of a formal move in 2026 on the absence of a broad coalition capable of securing the required supermajority or public vote, consistent with past constitutional reforms that stalled without cross-party backing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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