Redistricting last year consolidated Houston-area districts into the new TX-18, forcing a direct contest between sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee holding a seven-point lead among likely runoff voters, reflecting stronger name recognition from his recent special election victory and broader support in the merged district. The May 26 runoff remains the decisive event, with early voting already underway and limited additional debates scheduled. Other primary candidates have negligible support in current pricing. Traders' heavy weighting toward Menefee aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of the consolidated electorate, though final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could still influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日クリスチャン・メネフィー 89.8%
アル・グリーン 10.5%
グレッチェン・ブラウン <1%
アマンダ・エドワーズ <1%
$27,959 Vol.
$27,959 Vol.
クリスチャン・メネフィー
90%
アル・グリーン
10%
グレッチェン・ブラウン
<1%
アマンダ・エドワーズ
<1%
クリスチャン・メネフィー 89.8%
アル・グリーン 10.5%
グレッチェン・ブラウン <1%
アマンダ・エドワーズ <1%
$27,959 Vol.
$27,959 Vol.
クリスチャン・メネフィー
90%
アル・グリーン
10%
グレッチェン・ブラウン
<1%
アマンダ・エドワーズ
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last year consolidated Houston-area districts into the new TX-18, forcing a direct contest between sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green after neither secured a majority in the March primary. Recent University of Houston polling shows Menefee holding a seven-point lead among likely runoff voters, reflecting stronger name recognition from his recent special election victory and broader support in the merged district. The May 26 runoff remains the decisive event, with early voting already underway and limited additional debates scheduled. Other primary candidates have negligible support in current pricing. Traders' heavy weighting toward Menefee aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of the consolidated electorate, though final turnout among key Democratic voting blocs could still influence the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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