Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$613k - $620k 65%
62万ドル超 30%
$606k - $613k 17%
$592k - $599k 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$599k - $606k
4%
$585k未満
9%
$606k - $613k
19%
$585k - $592k
1%
$592k - $599k
5%
$613k - $620k
65%
62万ドル超
25%
$613k - $620k 65%
62万ドル超 30%
$606k - $613k 17%
$592k - $599k 5.2%
新規
新規
2026/06/30
$599k - $606k
$640 Vol.
4%
$585k未満
$197 Vol.
9%
$606k - $613k
$964 Vol.
19%
$585k - $592k
$247 Vol.
1%
$592k - $599k
$397 Vol.
5%
$613k - $620k
$505 Vol.
65%
62万ドル超
$394 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
マーケット開始日： Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
音量
$3,344終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
音量
$3,344終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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