Trader sentiment in the "What will Trump say in May?" markets reflects President Trump's active early-May schedule, including a May 1 speech at The Villages on senior benefits, May 8 Mother's Day luncheon remarks, May 11 maternal healthcare event, and press gaggles amid Iran ceasefire talks where he warned of ending the conflict "peacefully or otherwise." Highest implied probabilities cluster around "Nuke" (73%), "Golden Dome" (71%), and "America Last" (70%), driven by ongoing Middle East tensions and his rhetorical style in foreign policy discussions, while lower odds like "Darth Vader" (9%) signal rarity. No listed terms have appeared in public audio/video yet, with half the resolution window (through May 31) remaining; upcoming press interactions en route from Beijing summit with Xi Jinping could shift odds based on diplomatic updates. Volume exceeds $38,000 as traders assess his speech patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$38,089 Vol.
Barack Hussein Obamacare
27%
Bunker
31%
Egghead
33%
Iwo Jima
52%
Golden Dome
71%
Skedaddle
35%
Pizza
53%
Prediction Market
21%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
43%
Braggadocious
25%
Bitcoin
52%
Epstein
49%
Asshole
34%
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
22%
Favorite Chart
54%
Big Bang
32%
Darth Vader
9%
White House Faith Office
54%
Christmas
57%
Nuke
71%
Cat
62%
America Last
70%
Neville / Chamberlain
37%
$38,089 Vol.
Barack Hussein Obamacare
27%
Bunker
31%
Egghead
33%
Iwo Jima
52%
Golden Dome
71%
Skedaddle
35%
Pizza
53%
Prediction Market
21%
Discombobulator / Discombobulated
43%
Braggadocious
25%
Bitcoin
52%
Epstein
49%
Asshole
34%
Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer
22%
Favorite Chart
54%
Big Bang
32%
Darth Vader
9%
White House Faith Office
54%
Christmas
57%
Nuke
71%
Cat
62%
America Last
70%
Neville / Chamberlain
37%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 27, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in the "What will Trump say in May?" markets reflects President Trump's active early-May schedule, including a May 1 speech at The Villages on senior benefits, May 8 Mother's Day luncheon remarks, May 11 maternal healthcare event, and press gaggles amid Iran ceasefire talks where he warned of ending the conflict "peacefully or otherwise." Highest implied probabilities cluster around "Nuke" (73%), "Golden Dome" (71%), and "America Last" (70%), driven by ongoing Middle East tensions and his rhetorical style in foreign policy discussions, while lower odds like "Darth Vader" (9%) signal rarity. No listed terms have appeared in public audio/video yet, with half the resolution window (through May 31) remaining; upcoming press interactions en route from Beijing summit with Xi Jinping could shift odds based on diplomatic updates. Volume exceeds $38,000 as traders assess his speech patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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