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icon for 5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

icon for 5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?

アンソロピック 89%

グーグル 10%

OpenAI <1%

バイトダンス <1%

Polymarket

$8,855,865 Vol.

アンソロピック 89%

グーグル 10%

OpenAI <1%

バイトダンス <1%

Polymarket

$8,855,865 Vol.

icon for アンソロピック

アンソロピック

$653,098 Vol.

89%

icon for グーグル

グーグル

$605,688 Vol.

10%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$750,993 Vol.

1%

icon for バイトダンス

バイトダンス

$553,331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$523,051 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$528,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for xAI

xAI

$666,373 Vol.

<1%

icon for アリババ

アリババ

$518,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for ムーンショット

ムーンショット

$557,810 Vol.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$475,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for バイドゥ

バイドゥ

$470,637 Vol.

<1%

icon for アマゾン

アマゾン

$403,756 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$1,422,640 Vol.

<1%

icon for 美団

美団

$311,909 Vol.

<1%

icon for マイクロソフト

マイクロソフト

$416,851 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$8,855,865
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
音量
$8,855,865
終了日
2026/05/31
マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アンソロピック」で89%、次いで「グーグル」が10%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、89¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に89%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?」は$8.9 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アンソロピック」で89%であり、市場がこの結果に89%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「グーグル」で10%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「5月末に最も優れたAIモデルを持っているのはどの会社ですか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。