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icon for ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?

ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?

icon for ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?

ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $4.50

$0 Vol.

42%

↑ $4.40

$0 Vol.

48%

↑ $4.30

$0 Vol.

44%

↑ $4.20

$0 Vol.

55%

↓ $4.00

$0 Vol.

54%

↓ $3.90

$0 Vol.

47%

↓ $3.70

$0 Vol.

38%

↓ $3.50

$0 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. regular gasoline prices near $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026 reflect residual effects from earlier crude spikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, though the U.S.-Iran truce and reopened shipping lanes have since pushed WTI spot prices to roughly $83 per barrel. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging $3.80 per gallon, supported by rebuilding inventories, softening summer demand, and lower refiner crude costs. Record natural gas storage and robust Lower-48 production further limit broader energy cost pass-through. Trader focus centers on whether any near-term inventory draws or weather-driven demand could briefly lift averages above key thresholds before seasonal declines accelerate into September.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Elevated U.S. regular gasoline prices near $4.10 per gallon in late August 2026 reflect residual effects from earlier crude spikes tied to Strait of Hormuz tensions, though the U.S.-Iran truce and reopened shipping lanes have since pushed WTI spot prices to roughly $83 per barrel. EIA’s August Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Q3 2026 retail gasoline averaging $3.80 per gallon, supported by rebuilding inventories, softening summer demand, and lower refiner crude costs. Record natural gas storage and robust Lower-48 production further limit broader energy cost pass-through. Trader focus centers on whether any near-term inventory draws or weather-driven demand could briefly lift averages above key thresholds before seasonal declines accelerate into September.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/30
マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ $4.20」で56%、次いで「↓ $4.00」が55%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、56¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に56%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 26, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ $4.20」で56%であり、市場がこの結果に56%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ $4.00」で55%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ガスは9月末までに__に到達しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。