Iran's legal system, rooted in Sharia-based statutes that classify homosexual acts as criminal offenses carrying severe penalties, drives the near-certain trader consensus against legalization of same-sex marriage. The Islamic Republic's constitution and clerical oversight show no recent legislative proposals, policy signals, or reform initiatives that could alter this framework. Historical enforcement patterns under the current theocratic structure further anchor expectations that no near-term shift will occur. Even with this high implied probability, scenarios such as a fundamental change in leadership or reinterpretation of religious jurisprudence by senior authorities could theoretically open a path to policy evolution, though such developments lack any verifiable momentum in the present environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$47,056 Vol.
$47,056 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$47,056 Vol.
$47,056 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal system, rooted in Sharia-based statutes that classify homosexual acts as criminal offenses carrying severe penalties, drives the near-certain trader consensus against legalization of same-sex marriage. The Islamic Republic's constitution and clerical oversight show no recent legislative proposals, policy signals, or reform initiatives that could alter this framework. Historical enforcement patterns under the current theocratic structure further anchor expectations that no near-term shift will occur. Even with this high implied probability, scenarios such as a fundamental change in leadership or reinterpretation of religious jurisprudence by senior authorities could theoretically open a path to policy evolution, though such developments lack any verifiable momentum in the present environment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
音量
$47,056終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's legal system, rooted in Sharia-based statutes that classify homosexual acts as criminal offenses carrying severe penalties, drives the near-certain trader consensus against legalization of same-sex marriage. The Islamic Republic's constitution and clerical oversight show no recent legislative proposals, policy signals, or reform initiatives that could alter this framework. Historical enforcement patterns under the current theocratic structure further anchor expectations that no near-term shift will occur. Even with this high implied probability, scenarios such as a fundamental change in leadership or reinterpretation of religious jurisprudence by senior authorities could theoretically open a path to policy evolution, though such developments lack any verifiable momentum in the present environment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$47,056終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's legal system, rooted in Sharia-based statutes that classify homosexual acts as criminal offenses carrying severe penalties, drives the near-certain trader consensus against legalization of same-sex marriage. The Islamic Republic's constitution and clerical oversight show no recent legislative proposals, policy signals, or reform initiatives that could alter this framework. Historical enforcement patterns under the current theocratic structure further anchor expectations that no near-term shift will occur. Even with this high implied probability, scenarios such as a fundamental change in leadership or reinterpretation of religious jurisprudence by senior authorities could theoretically open a path to policy evolution, though such developments lack any verifiable momentum in the present environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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