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icon for ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?

ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?

icon for ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?

ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$15,761 Vol.

はい

6% 確率
Polymarket

$15,761 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Jake Paul's continued emphasis on boxing, MMA promotion, and entertainment ventures, without any formal candidacy filings, exploratory committees, or campaign announcements, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus against a 2026 public office run.** President Trump's March 2026 endorsement at a Kentucky rally—where he praised Paul and predicted a future bid—sparked brief speculation but produced no subsequent steps such as ballot access efforts or policy positioning. Paul, who resides in Puerto Rico and remains focused on fight scheduling, Most Valuable Promotions activities, and content creation, has issued no statements or actions indicating an imminent announcement through mid-to-late 2026. Historical patterns of celebrity candidacies typically require visible groundwork well before election cycles, which remains absent here. The market resolves on any official announcement by December 31, 2026; absent concrete developments in the remaining months, traders view the probability of action this year as low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$15,761
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.**Jake Paul's continued emphasis on boxing, MMA promotion, and entertainment ventures, without any formal candidacy filings, exploratory committees, or campaign announcements, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus against a 2026 public office run.** President Trump's March 2026 endorsement at a Kentucky rally—where he praised Paul and predicted a future bid—sparked brief speculation but produced no subsequent steps such as ballot access efforts or policy positioning. Paul, who resides in Puerto Rico and remains focused on fight scheduling, Most Valuable Promotions activities, and content creation, has issued no statements or actions indicating an imminent announcement through mid-to-late 2026. Historical patterns of celebrity candidacies typically require visible groundwork well before election cycles, which remains absent here. The market resolves on any official announcement by December 31, 2026; absent concrete developments in the remaining months, traders view the probability of action this year as low.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$15,761
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 11, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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よくある質問

「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職への出馬を表明するでしょうか?」で6%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、6¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に6%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?」は$15.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 11, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?」の現在のリーダーは「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職への出馬を表明するでしょうか?」でわずか6%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェイク・ポールは2026年に公職に立候補すると発表しますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。