Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump in the new Congress. Recent developments include Rep. Al Green’s introduction of formal articles on August 24, 2026, citing immigration enforcement actions and alleged constitutional violations, alongside earlier resolutions and Democratic leadership statements that have not ruled out using impeachment as an oversight tool. Traders price the “Yes” outcome at 67.5% because historical precedent shows opposition majorities frequently pursue impeachment in divided government, while current Republican majorities and the two-thirds Senate threshold make near-term passage unlikely. Market pricing also reflects the multi-year window through January 2029, during which shifting congressional control could enable a House vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
68% 確率
$96,347 Vol.
$96,347 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
はい
68% 確率
$96,347 Vol.
$96,347 Vol.
2029/01/19
3.25%を獲得
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump in the new Congress. Recent developments include Rep. Al Green’s introduction of formal articles on August 24, 2026, citing immigration enforcement actions and alleged constitutional violations, alongside earlier resolutions and Democratic leadership statements that have not ruled out using impeachment as an oversight tool. Traders price the “Yes” outcome at 67.5% because historical precedent shows opposition majorities frequently pursue impeachment in divided government, while current Republican majorities and the two-thirds Senate threshold make near-term passage unlikely. Market pricing also reflects the multi-year window through January 2029, during which shifting congressional control could enable a House vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$96,347終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump in the new Congress. Recent developments include Rep. Al Green’s introduction of formal articles on August 24, 2026, citing immigration enforcement actions and alleged constitutional violations, alongside earlier resolutions and Democratic leadership statements that have not ruled out using impeachment as an oversight tool. Traders price the “Yes” outcome at 67.5% because historical precedent shows opposition majorities frequently pursue impeachment in divided government, while current Republican majorities and the two-thirds Senate threshold make near-term passage unlikely. Market pricing also reflects the multi-year window through January 2029, during which shifting congressional control could enable a House vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
音量
$96,347終了日
2029/01/20マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Democrats are widely expected to regain House control in the November 2026 midterms, positioning them to advance articles of impeachment against President Trump in the new Congress. Recent developments include Rep. Al Green’s introduction of formal articles on August 24, 2026, citing immigration enforcement actions and alleged constitutional violations, alongside earlier resolutions and Democratic leadership statements that have not ruled out using impeachment as an oversight tool. Traders price the “Yes” outcome at 67.5% because historical precedent shows opposition majorities frequently pursue impeachment in divided government, while current Republican majorities and the two-thirds Senate threshold make near-term passage unlikely. Market pricing also reflects the multi-year window through January 2029, during which shifting congressional control could enable a House vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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