Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to no Trump visit to Gaza in 2026 because ongoing stabilization under the Board of Peace and related ceasefires has produced no announced itinerary or security conditions supporting a presidential trip, consistent with protocols favoring meetings in Israel, Egypt, or neutral venues. Recent diplomatic activity centers on disarmament talks, reconstruction funding, and phased withdrawals without direct U.S. leadership presence inside the enclave. A verified full implementation of the peace framework enabling a symbolic appearance, or an unexpected multilateral summit triggered by late breakthroughs, remains the primary pathway that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日5% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
5% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to no Trump visit to Gaza in 2026 because ongoing stabilization under the Board of Peace and related ceasefires has produced no announced itinerary or security conditions supporting a presidential trip, consistent with protocols favoring meetings in Israel, Egypt, or neutral venues. Recent diplomatic activity centers on disarmament talks, reconstruction funding, and phased withdrawals without direct U.S. leadership presence inside the enclave. A verified full implementation of the peace framework enabling a symbolic appearance, or an unexpected multilateral summit triggered by late breakthroughs, remains the primary pathway that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
音量
$2,940終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to no Trump visit to Gaza in 2026 because ongoing stabilization under the Board of Peace and related ceasefires has produced no announced itinerary or security conditions supporting a presidential trip, consistent with protocols favoring meetings in Israel, Egypt, or neutral venues. Recent diplomatic activity centers on disarmament talks, reconstruction funding, and phased withdrawals without direct U.S. leadership presence inside the enclave. A verified full implementation of the peace framework enabling a symbolic appearance, or an unexpected multilateral summit triggered by late breakthroughs, remains the primary pathway that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the Gaza Strip by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip. Whether or not Trump enters the Gaza Strip's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
A visit to any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip, including visits to buffer zones or Israeli-controlled territory within the strip, counts.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, or official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$2,940終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jul 31, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign roughly 95 percent probability to no Trump visit to Gaza in 2026 because ongoing stabilization under the Board of Peace and related ceasefires has produced no announced itinerary or security conditions supporting a presidential trip, consistent with protocols favoring meetings in Israel, Egypt, or neutral venues. Recent diplomatic activity centers on disarmament talks, reconstruction funding, and phased withdrawals without direct U.S. leadership presence inside the enclave. A verified full implementation of the peace framework enabling a symbolic appearance, or an unexpected multilateral summit triggered by late breakthroughs, remains the primary pathway that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問