Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary balance, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025, including Conservatives Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux and Marilyn Gladu, plus NDP MP Lori Idlout. These defections, often citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and desire for stable governance, helped secure a majority after April by-elections. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter mandates, while polls show divided public views on the practice. Ongoing talks between Liberals and other MPs, combined with reported discontent in opposition caucuses, sustain speculation about further shifts before the next general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.06.30
May 31
11%
$1,868 거래량
May 31
$255 거래량
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary balance, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025, including Conservatives Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux and Marilyn Gladu, plus NDP MP Lori Idlout. These defections, often citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and desire for stable governance, helped secure a majority after April by-elections. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter mandates, while polls show divided public views on the practice. Ongoing talks between Liberals and other MPs, combined with reported discontent in opposition caucuses, sustain speculation about further shifts before the next general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
거래량
$1,868종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary balance, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025, including Conservatives Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux and Marilyn Gladu, plus NDP MP Lori Idlout. These defections, often citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and desire for stable governance, helped secure a majority after April by-elections. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter mandates, while polls show divided public views on the practice. Ongoing talks between Liberals and other MPs, combined with reported discontent in opposition caucuses, sustain speculation about further shifts before the next general election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
“Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,868종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent floor crossings have reshaped Canada's parliamentary balance, with five opposition MPs joining Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberals since November 2025, including Conservatives Chris d’Entremont, Michael Ma, Matt Jeneroux and Marilyn Gladu, plus NDP MP Lori Idlout. These defections, often citing alignment with Carney’s economic priorities and desire for stable governance, helped secure a majority after April by-elections. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre has condemned the moves as undermining voter mandates, while polls show divided public views on the practice. Ongoing talks between Liberals and other MPs, combined with reported discontent in opposition caucuses, sustain speculation about further shifts before the next general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문