PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.5%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS) 1.7%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
PL
76%
UPB
10%
FE Brasil
6%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
2%
MDB
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
1%
PSB
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
PSD
<1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PDT
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PODE
<1%
PL 76%
UPB 10%
FE Brasil 6.5%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS) 1.7%
신규
신규
2026.10.04
PL
$2,917 거래량
76%
UPB
$563 거래량
10%
FE Brasil
$444 거래량
6%
공화당(REPUBLICANOS)
$343 거래량
2%
MDB
$239 거래량
2%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$185 거래량
1%
PSB
$266 거래량
1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$195 거래량
<1%
PSD
$175 거래량
<1%
MISSÃO
$237 거래량
<1%
PDT
$166 거래량
<1%
Avante
$200 거래량
<1%
NOVO
$165 거래량
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$200 거래량
<1%
PODE
$170 거래량
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
마켓 개설일: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
거래량
$6,460종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
거래량
$6,460종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...PL currently holds the largest caucus in Brazil’s Chamber of Deputies following its 2022 gains and has further strengthened its position through the recent party-switching window, recording a net increase of 12 federal deputies. This structural advantage, combined with alignment to the leading presidential candidate from the same party, underpins trader consensus assigning PL a 75.5 percent implied probability of securing the most seats in the October 2026 proportional election. Opposition groupings such as FE Brasil and UPB trail significantly, reflecting limited recent shifts in legislative alignments or polling momentum. Scheduled general elections on October 4 will determine final seat totals under Brazil’s open-list system, where existing party infrastructure and candidate recruitment remain decisive factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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