Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트FL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$18,925 거래량
$18,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
14%
$18,925 거래량
$18,925 거래량
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$7,543 거래량
83%
Democratic Party
$11,382 거래량
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
거래량
$18,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,925종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican advantage rooted in its partisan voting index and voting history, with the seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Daniel Webster's retirement opened the race, yet this has not altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Recent candidate filings following the June 12 deadline show limited Democratic activity in a district that favored Republicans by double digits in the prior cycle. Trader pricing aligns with these structural factors and historical base rates for similar open seats in Florida, where shifts would require unusual turnout swings or unforeseen developments before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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