Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its deep-red partisan lean—historically delivering large GOP margins in Lee and Collier counties—and a voter registration edge favoring the party by over 20 points. Incumbent Rep. Byron Donalds vacated the seat in February 2026 to pursue the Republican gubernatorial nomination, opening a crowded primary featuring candidates like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Schwartzel, who boasts $1.28 million cash-on-hand. The Florida legislature's late-April redistricting, passed 83-28 in the House, further solidified GOP advantages statewide, including FL-19. Democrats trail at 10.5% amid weak fundraising and no standout contender ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican Party
$2,619 거래량
90%
Democratic Party
$179 거래량
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its deep-red partisan lean—historically delivering large GOP margins in Lee and Collier counties—and a voter registration edge favoring the party by over 20 points. Incumbent Rep. Byron Donalds vacated the seat in February 2026 to pursue the Republican gubernatorial nomination, opening a crowded primary featuring candidates like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Schwartzel, who boasts $1.28 million cash-on-hand. The Florida legislature's late-April redistricting, passed 83-28 in the House, further solidified GOP advantages statewide, including FL-19. Democrats trail at 10.5% amid weak fundraising and no standout contender ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
거래량
$2,797종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its deep-red partisan lean—historically delivering large GOP margins in Lee and Collier counties—and a voter registration edge favoring the party by over 20 points. Incumbent Rep. Byron Donalds vacated the seat in February 2026 to pursue the Republican gubernatorial nomination, opening a crowded primary featuring candidates like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Schwartzel, who boasts $1.28 million cash-on-hand. The Florida legislature's late-April redistricting, passed 83-28 in the House, further solidified GOP advantages statewide, including FL-19. Democrats trail at 10.5% amid weak fundraising and no standout contender ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$2,797종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th Congressional District remains a stronghold for Republicans at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its deep-red partisan lean—historically delivering large GOP margins in Lee and Collier counties—and a voter registration edge favoring the party by over 20 points. Incumbent Rep. Byron Donalds vacated the seat in February 2026 to pursue the Republican gubernatorial nomination, opening a crowded primary featuring candidates like former Rep. Madison Cawthorn and Jim Schwartzel, who boasts $1.28 million cash-on-hand. The Florida legislature's late-April redistricting, passed 83-28 in the House, further solidified GOP advantages statewide, including FL-19. Democrats trail at 10.5% amid weak fundraising and no standout contender ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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