Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$150,110 거래량
$150,110 거래량
2026.05.31
예
$150,110 거래량
$150,110 거래량
2026.05.31
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
거래량
$150,110종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$150,110종료일
2026.05.31마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 3:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli naval forces have repeatedly intercepted Gaza-bound aid flotillas in international waters, most recently seizing over 20 vessels from the Global Sumud Flotilla near Crete on April 29-30, 2026, and detaining activists before they approached Israeli territorial limits. Fresh departures of additional vessels from Turkey and Greece in mid-May 2026 continue the pattern, yet enforcement of the longstanding maritime blockade remains the dominant factor shaping trader consensus around a 63.5% probability of no entry by the May 31 resolution date. Past operations demonstrate that Israeli authorities typically halt such missions far from territorial seas, limiting opportunities for breach despite activist efforts to deliver humanitarian aid amid ongoing Gaza operations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문