Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for the flotilla reaching Gaza by May 31, reflecting Israel's naval forces' decisive interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla on April 30 in international waters near Crete, where 22 vessels were seized, over 175 activists detained—mostly released in Greece—and no aid delivered, consistent with enforcement of the Gaza naval blockade since 2007. No boats arrived in Gaza, with survivors regrouping in Marmaris, Turkey, by early May amid UN calls for activist releases. Freedom Flotilla Coalition launched new boats on May 13, but historical precedents like the 2010 Mavi Marmara raid underscore formidable military barriers; only a major diplomatic shift or international escort could alter odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for the flotilla reaching Gaza by May 31, reflecting Israel's naval forces' decisive interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla on April 30 in international waters near Crete, where 22 vessels were seized, over 175 activists detained—mostly released in Greece—and no aid delivered, consistent with enforcement of the Gaza naval blockade since 2007. No boats arrived in Gaza, with survivors regrouping in Marmaris, Turkey, by early May amid UN calls for activist releases. Freedom Flotilla Coalition launched new boats on May 13, but historical precedents like the 2010 Mavi Marmara raid underscore formidable military barriers; only a major diplomatic shift or international escort could alter odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문