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Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

icon for Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?

1% 확률
Polymarket
신규
1% 확률
Polymarket
신규
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for the flotilla reaching Gaza by May 31, reflecting Israel's naval forces' decisive interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla on April 30 in international waters near Crete, where 22 vessels were seized, over 175 activists detained—mostly released in Greece—and no aid delivered, consistent with enforcement of the Gaza naval blockade since 2007. No boats arrived in Gaza, with survivors regrouping in Marmaris, Turkey, by early May amid UN calls for activist releases. Freedom Flotilla Coalition launched new boats on May 13, but historical precedents like the 2010 Mavi Marmara raid underscore formidable military barriers; only a major diplomatic shift or international escort could alter odds before resolution.

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$4,756
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 98.8% for the flotilla reaching Gaza by May 31, reflecting Israel's naval forces' decisive interception of the Global Sumud Flotilla on April 30 in international waters near Crete, where 22 vessels were seized, over 175 activists detained—mostly released in Greece—and no aid delivered, consistent with enforcement of the Gaza naval blockade since 2007. No boats arrived in Gaza, with survivors regrouping in Marmaris, Turkey, by early May amid UN calls for activist releases. Freedom Flotilla Coalition launched new boats on May 13, but historical precedents like the 2010 Mavi Marmara raid underscore formidable military barriers; only a major diplomatic shift or international escort could alter odds before resolution.

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$4,756
종료일
2026.05.31
마켓 개설일
Apr 20, 2026, 3:31 PM ET
A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any members of this flotilla arrive in Gaza by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Arriving in Gaza” refers to disembarking from a vessel that is part of the flotilla into Gaza’s land territory. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 1%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 1¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 1%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, Apr 20, 2026에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 1%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 1%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.