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icon for US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

icon for US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

<1% 확률
Polymarket

$10,185 거래량

<1% 확률
Polymarket

$10,185 거래량

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.

Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$10,185
종료일
2026.05.15
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 99.8% against a US announcement shutting down the Gaza military center—likely referring to the Civil-Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in southern Israel—by May 15, driven by the absence of any official White House, Department of Defense, or State Department statement despite early May Reuters reporting on potential closure amid stalling Trump administration Gaza stabilization efforts. The UN-backed Board of Peace swiftly denied shutdown plans, affirming the center's role in ceasefire monitoring and aid oversight remains operational after scaling back. With the deadline two days away and no escalation signals in fragile Israel-Hamas truce dynamics, traders see slim odds of a late announcement; only a sudden diplomatic rupture or policy reversal could shift this.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred.

Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$10,185
종료일
2026.05.15
마켓 개설일
May 1, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government or military publicly announces that the Civil Military Coordination Center (CMCC) located in Kiryat Gat, Israel will be shut down, absorbed into a successor entity, or that all United States military personnel will be withdrawn from the Center, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the announced shutdown, closure, transition, or withdrawal has actually occurred. Announcements of partial personnel reductions will not alone qualify. However, an announcement that CMCC will be absorbed into a successor entity may qualify even if some US military personnel remain in the successor entity. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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자주 묻는 질문

"US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 0%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 0¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 0%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?"은 총 $10.2K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 May 1, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 0%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 0%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.