Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트7월 16일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
7월 16일 앙카라에서 가장 높은 기온?
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 10%
28°C 3.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
28%
30°C
50%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 28%
31°C 10%
28°C 3.5%
신규
신규
2026.07.16
26°C or below
$86 거래량
<1%
27°C
$377 거래량
2%
28°C
$312 거래량
4%
29°C
$153 거래량
28%
30°C
$634 거래량
50%
31°C
$846 거래량
10%
32°C
$947 거래량
2%
33°C
$517 거래량
1%
34°C
$116 거래량
<1%
35°C
$159 거래량
<1%
36°C or higher
$431 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
거래량
$4,578종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
거래량
$4,578종료일
2026.07.16마켓 개설일
Jul 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles position 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Ankara on July 16, aligning with market-implied odds of 42% and 32%. Mid-July climatology on the Anatolian plateau features strong solar insolation and typical highs near 30–32°C, though light northeasterly flows or variable cloud cover can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Recent short-range guidance shows stable high-pressure dominance with minimal precipitation risk, keeping temperatures in the narrow 29–31°C band observed in prior July days. Ensemble spread remains modest this close to the date, with any late adjustments to wind or moisture likely to shift probabilities within the leading outcomes rather than toward extremes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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