**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 18일 베이징에서 가장 높은 기온?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
$41,187 거래량
$41,187 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
33°C 9.4%
$41,187 거래량
$41,187 거래량
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Beijing's June 18 maximum temperature centers on official guidance from China's National Meteorological Centre projecting a 31°C high amid thunderstorms, with ensemble models showing modest spread around this value.** Recent surface observations and short-range forecasts indicate daytime heating under partly cloudy conditions before convective activity develops, potentially limiting peak readings near 31–32°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on precise timing of storm initiation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day clearing that could allow additional insolation. Historical June climatology for the capital shows average highs near 31°C, providing a baseline against which current model consensus aligns closely. Updated CMA guidance or refined numerical weather prediction runs expected overnight will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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