Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 온도는?
12°C 41%
13°C 34%
14°C 13%
15°C 4.3%
$28,358 거래량
$28,358 거래량
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
41%
13°C
34%
14°C
13%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 41%
13°C 34%
14°C 13%
15°C 4.3%
$28,358 거래량
$28,358 거래량
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
41%
13°C
34%
14°C
13%
15°C
4%
16°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from global models points to a daily maximum near 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on June 28, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes at 32% and 23.5% implied probability. Winter conditions feature a high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly flow that restricts daytime heating while enabling overnight radiational cooling. Limited insolation at this latitude, combined with potential patchy cloud cover or slight wind shifts, creates narrow variability around the seasonal average high of 15–16°C early in the month. Model consensus on exact peak temperature remains tight yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or steering patterns, sustaining the close spread across 11–14°C bins. Updated short-range runs expected within the next 12–24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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