Recent meteorological guidance from sources including timeanddate and The Weather Channel points to a 28–29 °C high for Istanbul on June 28 under sunny, northeasterly flow, yet the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27 °C reflects climatological norms (late-June average highs near 26 °C) and typical short-range model spread. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal values, limiting rapid warming, while any strengthening of northerly winds or slight increase in cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are emphasizing the narrow range of expected outcomes and the potential for minor forecast adjustments from the next ECMWF or GFS runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 28일 이스탄불에서 가장 높은 기온을 기록하셨나요?
26°C 48%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
48%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C 이하
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
48%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from sources including timeanddate and The Weather Channel points to a 28–29 °C high for Istanbul on June 28 under sunny, northeasterly flow, yet the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27 °C reflects climatological norms (late-June average highs near 26 °C) and typical short-range model spread. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal values, limiting rapid warming, while any strengthening of northerly winds or slight increase in cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are emphasizing the narrow range of expected outcomes and the potential for minor forecast adjustments from the next ECMWF or GFS runs.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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